No. A forecast is not a guarantee from the government or proof of a risk-free investment.
Read the binding terms and assumptions
Identify what must occur for repayment and what losses or delays are possible under the actual agreement. Do not use the forecast as proof that EB-5 capital requirements are satisfied.
A direct EB-5 investment in a new commercial enterprise the investor owns and manages is permitted, provided the applicable capital is at risk, ten full-time direct jobs for qualifying workers are created, the funds are lawfully sourced and the investor engages in management. The first review identifies the investment structure, required capital amount, lawful source and path, job methodology, and whether direct or regional-centre rules control the evidence. The qualifying capital must be invested or irrevocably committed to the enterprise, so money still owed under a buyout agreement does not count until it is received and placed at risk. If a return of capital occurred, ask whether its date and terms affect your petition; a commercial loss is a different event, and a later replacement does not automatically cure an immigration problem. Because capital must remain genuinely at risk, no structure can promise repayment at a fixed date or after a fixed number of years, and any material suggesting otherwise should be shown to counsel before it influences the household budget.